- Session 1. Challenges of a data-driven model
The current state of mobility in Europe – University of Westminster
The foundations of the DATASET2050 model are described in this presentation, along with some of the corresponding data sources used in its construction. Using mobility, we show roughly how far from the target we are currently in Europe, with optimistic and less optimistic scenarios. We present the order of magnitude of the trip segments and introduce the main problematic. Finally, we have a brief look at how uncertainty is playing a key role right now in transportation with the creation of buffers – pure interplay between supply and demand.
Meeting the passenger’s demand: current and future – Bauhaus Luftfahrt
This presentation illustrates the passenger-centric approach taken within the DATASET2050 project by developing current demand profiles. It elaborates different aspects influencing passenger demand such as age, income, household structure, or technological affinity. Based on the analysis of European data, a range of passenger profiles and respective characteristics are derived. These determine the requirements passengers have during their journey and hence the time spent in different processes. Furthermore, data on European mobility behaviour yields different archetype journeys for these passengers.
Developing a new model for European mobility – Innaxis
The DATASET2050 mobility model is a mathematical framework aiming to represent the European door-to-door transportation network. The model has a stochastic approach inherited from complex networks theory, but is ultimately implemented using data science tools. This presentation will address how journey lengths are estimated as an aggregation of multiple random sub-processes and how decision networks are driven by stochastic supply and demand profiles. Several candidate mobility metrics will also be discussed and how the model can be used, to some extent, to analyse future scenarios.
- Session 2. Further exploring the journey process phase by phase – where are the efficiency gains?
Door-to-kerb – Prof. Dr. Kai Nagel, Technical University of Berlin
The MATSim (Multi Agent Transport Simulation) project is involved with the microscopic simulation of individual travellers at the regional or even national scale. The approach starts from a synthetic population where real humans are replaced by statistical equivalents, builds full daily schedules for them, and follows them through their day with a special focus on the transport system. The system also allows us to run detailed analysis tasks; for example, investigating the accessibility of households to all kinds of services by all means of transport. Clearly, it would also be possible to follow synthetic persons from home or workplace to an airport, or from airport to workplace or home. This presentation will demonstrate current capabilities and discuss possible extensions to MATSim.
Kerb-to-gate – Dr. Genovefa Kefalidou, Horizon 2020 PASSME project
Understanding passenger, airports and airlines’ needs promptly, transforming them into intelligence and adjusting services based on this intelligence is now even more demanding. PASSME is an EU-Horizon 2020-funded project in which we aim to provide innovations to modern journey challenges while at airports. We work on innovations to enhance passengers’ experiences (including reducing stress), providing real-time personalised information, improving interiors and luggage flow and forecasting passenger flow. We identify that passenger needs intertwine strongly with airport and airline needs, manifesting opportunities to build a relationshipamongst all these stakeholders through the use of mobile, back-end and situated innovations. This relationship demands to be maintained throughout the different airport touch points (e.g. kerb-to-gate) to facilitate and optimise the journey process as knock-on effects are transferred between phases, often causing further delays and dissatisfaction.
Gate-to-gate – Steve Williams, NATS
This presentation considers a selection of SESAR concepts, considering changes from flight plans to business trajectories and from distance-based to time-based spacing, also including extended arrival management horizons and system-wide information management (SWIM). It considers the relevance of SESAR to future transport goals: what could SESAR provide to other transport modes, what are the limitations, and why are the limitations unlikely to change? The importance of air traffic management data accuracy is also discussed, and why data are much more precise once an aircraft has left the ground.
- Session 3. Looking ahead to 2035 and 2050
Futures near and far – Christoph Schneider, Munich Airport
There are many potentially disrupting developments that add a lot of uncertainty when it comes to predicting mobility in 2035. The ACARE mobility vision does not contradict any of these trends. The European aviation market may appear to mature wrt growth rates, but absolute growth will most likely still be huge. Airport capacity is set to be the limiting factor with little hope of being coped with. Munich Airport is very actively engaged in activities to increase capacity, improve intermodality and enhance passenger experience by innovative digital products – these areas are common denominators for mobility in 2035.